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[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pinnacle Pulse: Issue 65[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Inside Wagering Line from Pinnacle Sports Book by Simon Noble[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Measuring the Accuracy of Pinnacle's Sharp Plays[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Since the first issue of the Pinnacle Pulse, we've focused a lot of attention on the methods and selections of 'sharp' players. Each week we highlight the markets where they are most active. At Pinnacle Sportsbook we consider a 'sharp player' to be a client that is consistently on the right side of a game, gets the best of the number and consequently wins over the long-term.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Therefore it is reasonable for bettors to ask how accurate these 'sharp plays' have been, but before going back and checking, bear in mind two bits of advice we have repeatedly stressed: 1) always play at the best price and 2) pass on a game if sharps have conflicting opinions at the same price. With these two rules in mind, you would have gone a whopping 47-31-2 following sharp plays since we began listing them last year.
[/FONT] [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Handicapping sports is a search for the truth. That truth is the chance of a given team winning on a given day. Professional players typically set their own line before looking at the market prices, and know what edge they expect at any given price. They view investing in a game as a simple commodity - they will buy either team if the price is right. In many instances, bettors will play both sides of the same game due to line moves or new information.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Many handicappers set their original line, and use an ROR (return on risk) hurdle to determine plays. For example, if a model predicts that Team A will beat Team B 75% of the time in a match-up, that player might look for a bet priced for Team A to win just 70% of the time, or Team B to win 20% of the time. Once that piece of truth is found - Team A's win percentage for that match-up - the sharp player bets it only if 'the price is right'. This might be by playing Team A at -233 on the moneyline, or making an 'equivalent' play identified with conversions, such as Team A -5.5. That same player would just as happily play Team B at +400 or +8 points.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]In most games the market price will be close enough to the handicapper's fair price to suggest that the game is a 'pass'. Due to the commission a bettor must pay on each wager (traditionally 10% at most sports books), there's a dead zone where neither side can be played profitably. For example, a sportsbook might offer both sides of an NFL game at Pick'em -110. In that instance, no play could be profitably made unless a team was expected to win more than (110/210) = 52.4%. With traditional 20 cent lines, there is a fairly wide dead zone at most other bookmakers.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]There are two obvious ways to reduce the impact of the dead zone. The simplest is to open an account with a reduced-juice sportsbook like Pinnacle Sports Betting. With Pinnacle's -104 style pricing on NFL sides, the dead zone is much smaller and a team expected to win just 51% could be profitable. Pinnacle Sports' reduced juice not only provides more favorable prices, with 8 cent lines on NFL sides, but gives bettors more possible plays as well.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The second way to reduce the dead zone further is to use multiple sportsbooks and shop lines. If you have an array of five plus sportsbooks, which includes a reduced juice sports book like Pinnacle Sports, you can frequently reduce the dead zone further - in some instances eliminating it entirely (e.g. if you can play either side at +100). When professional players count their profits in terms of 2-4% of their total betting volume, shopping to get the best number will frequently make the difference between a winning or losing season.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Modern Caveman recently contacted AskTheBook and asked:
Should a bettor really be taking advice from a bookie? In chess, I used to say 'never listen to your opponent.'[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]My advice would be, 'Trust, but verify'. In sports betting, like stock investing, you should never put money at risk on the strength of anything ANYONE says until you've researched the subject to the best of your abilities. This is especially true if your source has a vested interest.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The aim of The Pinnacle Pulse is to help educate players about the benefits of low juice by providing accurate information that helps improve the handicapping skills of prospective and existing Pinnacle Sports players. This is thanks in no small part to contributors such as Daringly and the Pinnacle Sports oddsmakers and line manage
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]We are constantly updating with valuable reading. This is a sport issue brought to you by pinnacle sports.
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pinnacle Pulse: Issue 65[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Inside Wagering Line from Pinnacle Sports Book by Simon Noble[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Measuring the Accuracy of Pinnacle's Sharp Plays[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Since the first issue of the Pinnacle Pulse, we've focused a lot of attention on the methods and selections of 'sharp' players. Each week we highlight the markets where they are most active. At Pinnacle Sportsbook we consider a 'sharp player' to be a client that is consistently on the right side of a game, gets the best of the number and consequently wins over the long-term.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Therefore it is reasonable for bettors to ask how accurate these 'sharp plays' have been, but before going back and checking, bear in mind two bits of advice we have repeatedly stressed: 1) always play at the best price and 2) pass on a game if sharps have conflicting opinions at the same price. With these two rules in mind, you would have gone a whopping 47-31-2 following sharp plays since we began listing them last year.
[/FONT] [FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Handicapping sports is a search for the truth. That truth is the chance of a given team winning on a given day. Professional players typically set their own line before looking at the market prices, and know what edge they expect at any given price. They view investing in a game as a simple commodity - they will buy either team if the price is right. In many instances, bettors will play both sides of the same game due to line moves or new information.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Many handicappers set their original line, and use an ROR (return on risk) hurdle to determine plays. For example, if a model predicts that Team A will beat Team B 75% of the time in a match-up, that player might look for a bet priced for Team A to win just 70% of the time, or Team B to win 20% of the time. Once that piece of truth is found - Team A's win percentage for that match-up - the sharp player bets it only if 'the price is right'. This might be by playing Team A at -233 on the moneyline, or making an 'equivalent' play identified with conversions, such as Team A -5.5. That same player would just as happily play Team B at +400 or +8 points.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]In most games the market price will be close enough to the handicapper's fair price to suggest that the game is a 'pass'. Due to the commission a bettor must pay on each wager (traditionally 10% at most sports books), there's a dead zone where neither side can be played profitably. For example, a sportsbook might offer both sides of an NFL game at Pick'em -110. In that instance, no play could be profitably made unless a team was expected to win more than (110/210) = 52.4%. With traditional 20 cent lines, there is a fairly wide dead zone at most other bookmakers.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]There are two obvious ways to reduce the impact of the dead zone. The simplest is to open an account with a reduced-juice sportsbook like Pinnacle Sports Betting. With Pinnacle's -104 style pricing on NFL sides, the dead zone is much smaller and a team expected to win just 51% could be profitable. Pinnacle Sports' reduced juice not only provides more favorable prices, with 8 cent lines on NFL sides, but gives bettors more possible plays as well.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The second way to reduce the dead zone further is to use multiple sportsbooks and shop lines. If you have an array of five plus sportsbooks, which includes a reduced juice sports book like Pinnacle Sports, you can frequently reduce the dead zone further - in some instances eliminating it entirely (e.g. if you can play either side at +100). When professional players count their profits in terms of 2-4% of their total betting volume, shopping to get the best number will frequently make the difference between a winning or losing season.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Modern Caveman recently contacted AskTheBook and asked:
Should a bettor really be taking advice from a bookie? In chess, I used to say 'never listen to your opponent.'[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]My advice would be, 'Trust, but verify'. In sports betting, like stock investing, you should never put money at risk on the strength of anything ANYONE says until you've researched the subject to the best of your abilities. This is especially true if your source has a vested interest.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The aim of The Pinnacle Pulse is to help educate players about the benefits of low juice by providing accurate information that helps improve the handicapping skills of prospective and existing Pinnacle Sports players. This is thanks in no small part to contributors such as Daringly and the Pinnacle Sports oddsmakers and line manage
Pinnacle Sports Book & Online Betting[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pinnacle Sports is an online betting company providing the best odds on sportsbook gambling, online horseracing and online casino gaming.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]With excellent 24/7 customer service, fast payouts, and secure Internet betting, Pinnacle Sports Book satisfies all your sports book betting requirements and game wagering needs.[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Pinnacle Sports Book also offers reduced juice betting so sign-up now with Pinnacle Sportsbook Betting and get wagering today![/FONT]
Well it's a series of published sport betting information brought to you by pinnacle sports. They are very popular and we have decided to post all the issues online at ixgames-com.
They will help you and guide your way through the sport jungle. You can even mail their expert with related questions.
We are in the process of updating ixgames with pinnacle pulse, so please be patient.
You can find all the past articles here on ixgames Pinnacle Pulse. If you have questions you can mail their expert Simon or you can post here on the forum so that others can read and hopefully help out.
Have a great weekend
admin
Read More: Betting By Sports - At nine-com
or
Visit: Review Of Nine-com
More than Nine Ways to Have Fun :thumbsup
If you hav'nt already discovered pinnacle pulse it's about time.
Today, they released issue 66, telling about why parlays are better than futures.
Pinnacle pulse is a vital read for sport bettors and alike, read, bet and analyze.
We will post on the forum with announcements on all future issues brought to you by pinnacle sports and their column pinnacle pulse.
admin
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Welcome to: Nine-com
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Anyway have a great read and good luck with your bets
[url="www-ixgames-com/the_gospel_according_to_pinnaclesports-com/"]Issue 68 - The Gospel according to PinnacleSports-com[/url]
Welcome to: Betcris Sportsbook (U.S Players Not Restricted) :thumbsup
The bottom line is to win more that you lose
Be patient, have some fun and enjoy the experience.!