Mendenhall opened as the 15/2 third-favorite on Bodog’s Super Bowl odds to win the game’s MVP award. And certainly he should get plenty of carries in Pittsburgh’s run-based offense. In the two playoff games, Mendenhall has averaged 23.5 carries per game and had one of his best games of the year in the AFC championship with 121 yards and a TD against the Jets.
Mendenhall’s total rushing yards for Super Bowl XLV is listed at over/under 77.5. As mentioned, he went over that total against the Jets but was held to 46 in the playoff opener. In fact, since Week 13 Mendenhall has exceeded that number only twice and both came against the Jets. Overall in the regular season he beat that number seven times. Mendenhall’s longest run from scrimmage is at over/under 15.5. He has exceeded that 11 times this season, including the AFC title game.
Will the running back make much of a splash as a receiver even though he hasn’t this year? Bodog lists his catch totals at over/under 1.5 and total receiving yardage at 15.5. Mendenhall has had at least two catches in eight games this season including playoffs (a high of three) and has totaled at least 16 yards receiving in five games (a high of 32 in the AFC title game). Finally, will Mendenhall score a touchdown in the game? Bodog lists yes as the -175 favorite and no at +145. The running back hasn’t scored via a reception this year, so that would be a shock. But he has scored in both playoff games and also did so in 11 regular-season games.
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No doubt age is slowing Driver. He might still technically be referred to as Green Bay’s No. 2 receiver behind Greg Jennings, but really Driver’s production is fourth on the team behind Jennings, James Jones and Jordy Nelson. Driver finished this season with 51 catches for 565 yards and four scores. Let’s take a look at some of the individual props that Bodog offers on Driver for Super Bowl XLV.
Driver is among the odds to win Super Bowl MVP at 25/1 and a receiver has won the MVP in three of the past Super Bowls. But it’s unlikely he will put up enough numbers with Aaron Rodgers spreading out the ball. Driver’s total receiving yards in the game is over/under 45.5. He surpassed that in the first two playoff games with 56 against the Eagles and 76 against the Falcons, but was held to one catch for 9 yards in the NFC title game. But Driver exceeded that total just four times in the regular season.
The number of total receptions for Driver is 3.5. He had five in the playoff opener and six in the divisional round but just that one vs. the Bears. He exceeded that number seven times in the regular season. Driver’s longest reception is listed at 15.5 yards. Again, in the first two playoff games he was able to exceed that number, as well as seven times in the regular season. And finally the prop on whether Driver will score a TD: no is -260 and yes at +200. No is such a big favorite because Driver only found the end zone four times all year and hasn’t since Week 13.
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When Ward does leave, a spot in Canton in a few years likely awaits. Ward was the MVP of the Super Bowl back in 2006 and his 954 career catches are more than the combined total of Steelers 1970s Hall of Fame receivers John Stallworth and Lynn Swann. Plus Ward is one of the best blocking receivers in NFL history and one of the great leaders ever on the Steelers.
Bodog offers a handful of props on Ward for Sunday’s game against Green Bay. For example, Ward is 25/1 to win a second Super Bowl MVP award – only four players in NFL history have won multiple SB MVP awards and those four are all quarterbacks. Bodog lists Ward’s total receptions for the game at over/under 3.5. Certainly Ward, 34, started to show his age a bit this year with 59 catches for 755 yards and five TDs in the regular season. He has been surpassed on the team by Mike Wallace, who was 12 when Ward was a rookie. This was Ward’s worst season since his third year in the league. Ward has not gone over that 3.5 total in the two playoff games. And he was under that number 10 times in the regular season.
Ward’s receiving yardage total for the game is over/under 42.5. That’s almost 5 yards less than what Ward averaged during the regular season. In the two playoffs games so far Ward has a total of just 39 receiving yards. Ward’s over/under for his longest reception in the game is just 14.5 yards. He exceeded that number nine times during the season but not yet in the playoffs. And finally whether Ward will score a touchdown is listed at no at -190 and yes at +155. Ward found the end zone in five regular-season games and also the playoff opener against the Baltimore Ravens.
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Unlike all these other skill position players we have looked at, you can’t really go by a thing Starks did in the regular season because he only got into three games and totaled 29 carries at the end of the regular season for 101 yards. But in the postseason the Packers have balanced their offense much more toward the run: in three games Green Bay has run 95 times and passed 93. In the regular season the Pack threw more than 63 percent of the team. To that end, Starks has had at least 22 carries in each postseason game and totaled 236 yards.
Starks opened as the third-favorite on his own team at 15/1 to win Super Bowl XLV MVP honors (behind Aaron Rodgers and Greg Jennings). If Starks gets 22 carries again he could certainly win this. But as surprising as it is, a running back hasn’t won the MVP since Terrell Davis in Super Bowl XXXII.
Bodog lists Starks’ total rushing yards at 50.5, which he has exceeded comfortably in all three playoff games. But the Steelers led the NFL in rushing defense by about 28 yards over the No. 2 team. That’s staggering. Starks’ longest run from scrimmage is over/under 10.5. He exceeded that number in all three playoff games as well. As for total receptions and receiving yards, those totals are 1.5 and 9.5. Starks has totaled just three catches for 15 yards in the playoffs. And finally, will Starks score a touchdown? No is the -190 favorite with yes at +155. Starks has scored once in his brief career, on a 4-yard run in the NFC title game against the Bears.
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In the Steelers’ past two Super Bowl victories, a receiver has been named MVP: Ward five years ago and Santonio Holmes two seasons ago. Wallace is the third favorite on the Steelers to win the MVP award this year at 16/1, behind Ben Roethlisberger and Rashard Mendenhall. For what it’s worth, EA Sports simulated the Super Bowl again this season, on Madden NFL 11, and Wallace finished as the MVP with five catches for 111 yards and the game-winning touchdown. The Steelers won 24-20.
Bodog lists Wallace’s receiving yardage total in the game at over/under 70.5, with under the favorite. Wallace has been mostly invisible in the playoffs, with just four total catches for 26 yards. However, he went over that total in the Steelers’ five final regular-season games, including closing with three straight 100-yard games. Overall, Wallace went over 70.5 yards 10 times during the season. Wallace’s total catches total is listed at 3.5. He hasn’t gone over that total in the playoffs and was under 3.5 catches 10 times during the regular season.
Meanwhile, Wallace’s longest reception is listed at over/under 24.5 yards. He is the Steelers’ big-play wideout and had a long catch over that number in 10 regular-season games. And finally, on whether Wallace will score a touchdown, no opened as the -160 favorite with yes at +130. Wallace hasn’t found the end zone in the playoffs but did in eight regular-season games, scoring two TDs in two games.
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With so many betting markets to choose from it is easy for the casual NFL betting fan to be a tad overwhelmed. Beyond the sheer quantity of bets that are available the sports books also price up the Super Bowl independently of one another, and with this game expected to be so close those minute differences could be critical.
For instance several online sports books still list the Pittsburgh Steelers as +2.5 point underdogs. But other bookmakers have pushed the spread out to 3 points, and if you want to bet on the Steelers that is a crucial adjustment to the line. Conversely, if you're looking to bet on Green Bay you want to find that 2.5 point spread so that if the game ends with the Packers winning by a field goal you still win your wager.
Does it really matter whether you take 2.5 points or 3 points? Yes, in fact it matters a lot more than one might think, as Online Gambling Insider's NFL editor explains: "3 points is the most important key number in NFL betting, because that is the most common score difference in professional football games. So a line move from 3 to 2.5 or from 3 to 3.5 is of incredible significance to football handicappers. It is far more important than if the line moved from 3.5 to 5.5 as that move does not include any key numbers (typical scoreline differentials in NFL games)."
Because Super Bowl XLV is balanced on a knife edge for those who are betting on the game, Online Gambling Insider will be providing updated comprehensive odds comparisons from all leading NFL sports books. The latest odds against the spread, as well as the money line, and the Over/Under total points markets will all be featured, and readers will quickly be able to spot where the best betting value lies. In addition, the seemingly ubiquitous online gambling portal will also feature select popular Super Bowl betting markets such as predicting the 1st half scores and scores by quarter.
Super Bowl XLV Betting Odds at: Bodog Sportsbook
The Green Bay Packers certainly don’t, as they’ve officially turned the page on their franchise with the huge 31-25 Super Bowl win behind the arm of their young star quarterback.
The Packers proved early they deserved to be 3-point favorites in the contest, jumping out to an early 14-0 with a passing touchdown by Aaron Rodgers and a pick six by corner Nick Collins.
Rodgers was brilliant all night, he finished with 304 passing yards and three touchdowns, easily besting Ben Roethlisberger and wining the game’s MVP award. Big Ben finished with 263 and two touchdowns and two interceptions. Roethlisberger was playing catchup most of the night, as every time his Steelers got close, the Pack would pull away. The Steelers pulled within a field goal and had the ball with 2:07 remaining, but weren't able to convert on fourth down to give Big Ben another miraculous comeback in his Super Bowl career.
“Wow! It’s a great day to be great, baby,” Jennings said.
The Packers have been resilient all season, overcoming injuries and the sixth seed in the NFC to grab their first Super Bowl since Favre was slinging it in ’97. We doubt anyone in Green Bay will fret over No. 4 leaving the storied franchise now.
“We’ve been a team that’s overcome adversity all year,” Jennings said. “Our head captain [Charles Woodson] goes down, emotional in the locker room. Our No. 1 receiver [Donald Driver] goes down, more emotions are going, flying in the locker room. But we find a way to bottle it up and exert it all out here on the field.”
Who needs Brett Favre?
The Green Bay Packers certainly don’t, as they’ve officially turned the page on their franchise with the huge 31-25 Super Bowl win behind the arm of their young star quarterback.
The Packers proved early they deserved to be 3-point favorites in the contest, jumping out to an early 14-0 with a passing touchdown by Aaron Rodgers and a pick six by corner Nick Collins.
Rodgers was brilliant all night, he finished with 304 passing yards and three touchdowns, easily besting Ben Roethlisberger and wining the game’s MVP award. Big Ben finished with 263 and two touchdowns and two interceptions. Roethlisberger was playing catchup most of the night, as every time his Steelers got close, the Pack would pull away. The Steelers pulled within a field goal and had the ball with 2:07 remaining, but weren't able to convert on fourth down to give Big Ben another miraculous comeback in his Super Bowl career.
“Wow! It’s a great day to be great, baby,” Jennings said.
The Packers have been resilient all season, overcoming injuries and the sixth seed in the NFC to grab their first Super Bowl since Favre was slinging it in ’97. We doubt anyone in Green Bay will fret over No. 4 leaving the storied franchise now.
“We’ve been a team that’s overcome adversity all year,” Jennings said. “Our head captain [Charles Woodson] goes down, emotional in the locker room. Our No. 1 receiver [Donald Driver] goes down, more emotions are going, flying in the locker room. But we find a way to bottle it up and exert it all out here on the field.”
Despite losing 15 players, including six Opening Day starters, to season-ending injuries this season, the Packers won the third Super Bowl in team history. And with every player of substance expected back in addition to those injured players returning to health, the Pack have opened as 7/1 favorites on Bodog’s NFL futures odds to win next season’s Super Bowl in Indianapolis.
On paper, the Packers should in fact be that much better next season. Obviously they have a franchise quarterback in place in Aaron Rodgers, the Super Bowl XLV MVP. Green Bay will get back top running back Ryan Grant to go with late-season find James Starks to form an excellent 1-2 punch. Young receivers Jordy Nelson and James Jones should only get better, and Jermichael Finley is one of the top tight ends in the NFL and he barely played this season.
On defense, Clay Matthews and B.J. Raji are already two of the best players at their positions and they haven’t even entered their prime yet. Really the only question marks might be resigning defensive lineman Cullen Jenkins and whether Charles Woodson can continue to play at a high level despite his age – Woodson left the Super Bowl early with a collarbone injury.
The second-favorite on Bodog to win next season’s Super Bowl is the New England Patriots at 8/1. The Pats are pretty young, have a ton of draft picks and of course have reigning league MVP Tom Brady. New England, which finished with the best record in the league this season, has lost three straight playoff games, however. Pittsburgh is the third-favorite for next year at 10/1.
For what it’s worth, the Indianapolis Colts entered this season as Bodog’s odds-on favorites. The Packers were basically co-NFC favorites with the Vikings and Cowboys, two teams that didn’t make the postseason.
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According to figures released by the state’s Gaming Control Board, the profit from 183 sports books made $724,176 from the $87.5 million in Super Bowl wagers, the lowest in 13 years.
In 1998, a profit of $472,033 was recorded when Denver topped Green Bay, 31-24.
They have posted a net profit of $115 million on the Super Bowl since 1991.
On Sunday’s NFL championship game pitting two of the NFL’s most storied franchises, the less-experienced Packers were able to hold on despite nearly blowing an 18-point first-half lead.
Green Bay, under the leadership of Aaron Rodgers, went on to topple the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-25 for their fourth Super Bowl title, but also topped both the 2 1-2 point spread at most Las Vegas casinos and 45-point projected point total, or over/under.
The Packers entered Super Sunday a 2 ½-point favorite for Super Bowl XLV against the more experienced Pittsburgh.
The underdog Steelers, considered by many in Vegas as moneyline Super Bowl bet, tried to bounce back after a tentative start with Ben Roethlisberger throwing two interceptions in the first half.
The Steelers quarterback recovered to complete 25-of-40 passes for 263 yards and two TDs but it was not enough to lift the AFC champions.
Roethlisberger tried to spark life into the Steelers heading into halftime by pulling Pittsburgh within 21-10 with 39 seconds left in the opening half.
Pittsburgh then scored the only points in the third quarter to draw within 21-17, but failed to sustain down the stretch.
NFL Players’ Association spokesman George Atallah said the second day of talks in Washington were called off after Wednesday’s extended session and gave no reason was given for the cancellation. However, some reports are that owners walked away from the negotiating table when the NFLPA proposed to take an average of 50 percent of all revenue generated by the league. The owners are offering to give around 40 percent.
NFL spokesman Greg Aiello has confirmed the cancellation of next week’s ownership meeting in Philadelphia as well.
“The commissioner did not see a need for it right now,” Aiello said, meaning that Commissioner Roger Goodell had no updates to give on the labor talks.
NFLPA executive director DeMaurice Smith has said the union expects owners to lock out players if a new agreement isn't reached by March 4 when the current deal, which was reached in 2008, expires. The owners' proposal of an 18-game regular season schedule, division of gross revenue and retirees' benefits are among the chief points of debate. In an interview with "Fox News Sunday" that aired the morning of Super Bowl XLV, Goodell called drug testing a key issue in labor talks. As of now, there are no further labor meetings scheduled between the sides.
Will there be a lockout? You can bet on that prop only at Bodog Sportsbook
Well, the Bengals aren’t about to trade their franchise player, even if he did have a bit of a down season. Palmer was the 19th-ranked quarterback in the league in 2010, completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 3,970 yards and 26 touchdowns to go with 20 interceptions. The interceptions tied a career high and five were returned for touchdowns. The Bengals slipped back into Bengal mode this past season, finishing 4-12 a year after making the playoffs and winning the AFC North. The franchise has just two winning records in the past 20 years.
“We are not trading Carson," Bengals president Mike Brown said a few weeks ago. "He is key to our plans, he's central to us. He was told that and that we count on him going forward. He was told that we are not in a position to trade him."
But you can still bet only at Bodog’s NFL odds what Palmer’s status will be on opening day 2011: a member of the Bengals (-200), a member of another team (even) or retired (+750).
Cincinnati does have a new offensive coordinator, with Jay Gruden, who is Jon Gruden’s brother and a former Arena League star QB and coach. Gruden says he won’t reach out to Palmer until his status is finalized for next season but that he is planning on Palmer being his quarterback and that he thinks Palmer will stay put. And for what it’s worth, Palmer has put his Cincinnati-area house up for sale.
The Bengals would be sad at quarterback if Palmer left because the only other QBs on the current roster are Palmer’s brother Jordan and 2010 Bears late-round pick Dan LeFevour. Cincinnati does have the No. 4 overall pick of the 2011 draft and probably will have its choice of college quarterbacks if it wanted, but there is no QB in this draft ready to step in and play next year.
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Taylor will be 37 when the 2011 begins. He had 36 tackles and five sacks last season, his 14th in the NFL. For his career, Taylor has 132.5 sacks, which is tied for eighth all-time. Taylor is the only active player in the Top 20. The 2006 NFL Defensive Player of the Year was devastated after the AFC Championship Game loss to Pittsburgh because he has never played in a Super Bowl – that was his first conference title game after 12 years with the Miami Dolphins and one with the Washington Redskins.
Taylor signed a two-year contract with the Jets in April, but all he would say about retirement after the AFC title game loss was: “We'll cross that bridge later. We'll see if (coach) Rex Ryan and (GM) Mike Tannenbaum want me back."
Pro Football Talk reported back in October that Taylor would retire as he likely wants to pursue interests in television or in the movies. Taylor was a contestant on the show “Dancing with the Stars” and he parlayed that into a movie deal but opting instead to keep playing football.
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At his state of the league address, Commissioner Roger Goodell said he wanted to get an agreement done in a few weeks, but not long before that NFLPA executive director DeMaurice Smith had declared the showdown with the owners as war. And both Goodell and Smith are rookies at negotiating a collective bargaining agreement in football. Thus a lockout seems almost a formality with the owners reportedly unanimous in their resolve – yes there will be a lockout is a big -300 favorite on Bodog with no at +200. The two sides, ominously, canceled talks on Thursday after they disagreed on so much Wednesday.
Owners would seem to have the advantage here because they get $4 billion in television revenue even if there’s not a season in 2011 and they don’t have to pay the players a dime. Players get nothing – they can’t even go to team facilities. And an average NFL career is only 3.5 years, so players aren’t going to want to risk an entire season on the sidelines. Once a lockout is imposed, football business basically shuts completely down other than April’s draft.
The current labor situation is fraught with complications, but three major things the owners want is an 18 percent revenue giveback from the players, an 18-game regular-season schedule and a rookie wage scale system similar to what the NBA has. The players are somewhat open to only the rookie scale, and Smith is quick to point out the NFL is enjoying unprecedented prosperity – Super Bowl XLV was the most-watched show in U.S. history – and that the owners won’t make public their team financials to prove they are losing as much money as they claim.
Most believe the two sides will come to a resolution by the summer because there’s just too much money at stake. Thus the favorite for how many games by teams next regular season is 12-16 at -150. Then it’s 9-12 (+160), 1-8 (+350) and 17-18 (+500).
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Tomlinson, who will be 32 in June, had a good start to the 2010 season but then seemed to taper off – other than the playoff-opening win over Indianapolis – after about Week 5. In the season’s first five games Tomlinson rushed for 435 yards (87.0 per game) and three touchdowns. In the final 11 games of the regular season, LT rushed for 479 yards (43.5 ypg) and three scores.
Tomlinson has one year and $2.4 million left on his two-year contract, but the Jets haven't definitively told him that he'll be back for 2011. They certainly may not want him back at that salary because Shonn Greene is expected to take over a bigger role next season and the Jets also want to see what Joe McKnight can do. So there may not be enough carries to go around, and Tomlinson would be the likely odd man out. LT said he would be fine with a lesser role because he simply wants to reach a Super Bowl, which he has yet to do.
Jets General Manager Mike Tannenbaum said recently that "we expect him back," but added that "these things could change." Tomlinson hopes the organization will let him know its plans for him before the current collective bargaining agreement expires on March 4. After that date, basically all NFL business will stop until an agreement is reached.
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LaDainian Tomlinson wants to play in the NFL next season, but the future Hall of Famer might not be in the plans of the New York Jets after just one season there. And if that’s the case, LT might opt for retirement. And only at Bodog’s NFL odds can you bet on what Tomlinson’s status will be on opening day next season: a member of the Jets (-175), retired (+175) or a member of another team (+500).
Tomlinson, who will be 32 in June, had a good start to the 2010 season but then seemed to taper off – other than the playoff-opening win over Indianapolis – after about Week 5. In the season’s first five games Tomlinson rushed for 435 yards (87.0 per game) and three touchdowns. In the final 11 games of the regular season, LT rushed for 479 yards (43.5 ypg) and three scores.
Tomlinson has one year and $2.4 million left on his two-year contract, but the Jets haven't definitively told him that he'll be back for 2011. They certainly may not want him back at that salary because Shonn Greene is expected to take over a bigger role next season and the Jets also want to see what Joe McKnight can do. So there may not be enough carries to go around, and Tomlinson would be the likely odd man out. LT said he would be fine with a lesser role because he simply wants to reach a Super Bowl, which he has yet to do.
Jets General Manager Mike Tannenbaum said recently that "we expect him back," but added that "these things could change." Tomlinson hopes the organization will let him know its plans for him before the current collective bargaining agreement expires on March 4. After that date, basically all NFL business will stop until an agreement is reached.
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Auburn’s one-year wonder Cam Newton stated before he accepted NCAA football’s Davey O’Brien award that he wants “to be transparent” through the whole draft process.
"I don't have nothing to hide, and I'm a competitor," Newton said. "I'm going to go out here and do what I've been working on this whole time and preparing for this moment right now."
Newton has been working with a QB coach in San Diego while being mentored by Warren Moon, attempting to defuse the notion that he is another athletic quarterback who knows only how to run.
Newton’s ability to play the position has come into question with the running-QB friendly offense he played at Auburn and rumors of attempts to garner money from schools before his star-making junior season.
It’s obvious Newton is out to prove his Heisman winning season at Auburn can translate to the NFL game.
"It's just as important, if not [more] important than the play on the field," Newton said. "You can't overlook that by no means. If you don't sell yourself to an organization, I think you're going to be skipped in that process and I don't want to be skipped."
Newton was already projected to be a top-10 pick, and this move could make him the No. 1 overall pick of the QB-needy Carolina Panthers.
The Bodog Sportsbook already has NFL combine odds for the upcoming combine on Thursday. You can already bet on Newton’s 40-yard dash time against other QBs.
Other first-round lock Blaine Gabbert will not be competing in the draft event.
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Unfortunately things aren’t going as planned. Supposedly the 2011 Heisman winner has already been stumped by difficult questions about football and most of all about himself.
According to a source at the NFL combine, an NFL assistant coach questioned Newton about why he disobeyed his coach's orders in the BCS National Championship Game. Newton ran a quarterback sneak toward the end of the game rather than take a knee as he was instructed. Newton wasn’t expecting the question and got defensive the source said. Newton has been trying hard to look professional and mature throughout the draft process but some scouts say it’s all an act. This situation won’t help change that perception.
Newton already took two steps back when he said he wanted to be an icon an entertainer, hardly the attitude you’re looking for in a quarterback. Newton spent the first few minutes of his press conference attempting to improve his image.
"First and foremost, I understand that my obligation is to be the best possible football player I can be," he said. "I know and believe that."
Newton is set to run at the NFL combine and the Bodog Sportsbook had odds posted on what his 40 time would be versus other athletes.
Check the NFL Network bright and early Sunday to see he and other quarterbacks perform.
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This week, Newton reacted negatively towards a question that was asked about him disobeying his coach in the final minutes of the national championship game. The coach called a play for Newton to simply drop to a knee, but Newton instead ran a quarterback sneak. These are the type things that NFL coaches want to know about.
Outside of the media surrounding the combine, there are also other areas of the game that can be affected by a strong or poor performance, future betting odds. If one of these players turns out to be a franchise-type player, the betting odds of the team that drafts said player will improve heading into next season and beyond.
The combine not only can make a player's stock improve, but also it can hurt a player if they perform poorly. Players that drop in the draft based on the combine sometimes turn out to be better picks than the players that shine with their 40 times and arm strength.
Tom Brady was drafted in the seventh round by the New England Patriots. Brady has turned into a three-time Super Bowl champion and has led his team to the big game four times. Brady has forever changed the way that bettors look at the Patriots.
Similarly, Ben Roethlisberger, Peyton Manning, and his brother Eli Manning, have all had significant impacts on the NFL gambling odds. Roethlisberger is a two-time Super Bowl champ, while the Manning brothers have one title each. Eli was part of a team that pulled off perhaps the biggest gambling upset in NFL history, when his New York Giants beat an undefeated New England team.
The combine will come and go this week, but the players that attended the showcase will be around for years to come, and many will be shaping the way bettors place their bets in future seasons.
Read more: SuperBowl Play-By-Play Live Betting with Bodog
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