Liverpool - Napoli
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Pick: Over (3) @2.120 2/10 -2.00
Liverpool were hopeless on the road in group stage losing all 3 games which is truly shocking because one of those fixtures was against Crvena Zvezda who are not very good but still Klopp's flops managed to mess it up. This leaves them with a need of a win in final game against Napoli and they might need to win by 2 goals. Ever since they lost at PSF a fortnight ago, fans and media started talking about yet another special Anfield night. They might get one on Tuesday. Although Napoli only need a point here and will settle for a draw, I fancy goals here because there is very good chance of game opening up because of special circumstances. Liverpool most definitely need to win. 1-0 will work but it's a tricky scoreline. In that case, Napoli will have to throw everything at them because they can't afford to lose (unless PSG fail to win in Belgrade which looks unlikely). If Liverpool concede, they would need to win by 2 goals. So in either scenario -- 1-0 lead for Liverpool or them conceding at any point -- would open things up and this provide lots of attacking and even risky football, thus increasing chances of lots of goals. We need 3+
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