San Francisco 49ers - Los Angeles Rams
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Pick: Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) @-120 5/10 -5.00
This is definitely a public bet, as it seems like the sharps are all on the 49ers to cover this small spread. I just don't see it, similar to the Monday night game with the Giants, when the Lions won outright as a dog. The eye test says that the 49ers are bad and the Rams are on the upswing and that this is mostly a betting line overreaction to Week 2 performances.
The Rams lost by a touchdown to the Redskins at home when Jared Goff threw a pick to kill a potential game-tying drive by the Rams. The Redskins were desperate to win, though, and they were able to maintain a good strategy of churning out yards on the ground before letting Kirk Cousins take over in the fourth quarter. That concerns me a little bit as Carlos Hyde has been a beast for the 49ers, but the Rams should have an easier time containing him as he is literally the 49ers' only offensive option. The Redskins are a very talented offensive team with a host of weapons. The 49ers are not.
The close game against the Seahawks is also a deceiving result for the 49ers. The Seahawks, despite their name recognition, are not going to be good this year. Russell Wilson has regressed and has no protection in the pocket and their rushing game is putrid. The Rams get better protection for Goff, who also has a better arm than Wilson, and they have a way better rushing game with Todd Gurley. I think the Rams will bounce back and be methodical on the ground and through the air, while their defense will force a few turnovers by the 49ers.
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